Monday, October 25, 2010

Beware of Future Forecasting and Pathetic Past Predictions - Think Tank Topic

Lance Winslow

The future no one knows, but many will claim too. Worse, people make rotten predictions, or purposefully present a scary future scenario to propel action towards their cause. Whether out of irresponsibility, mental illness, fear tactics, manipulation, or wishful thinking we should all be forewarned to these realities. Still, we need to consider past history, present challenges and conflicts, and realistic probabilities as well.

Recently in our think tank online, and it was determined that when we went back and looked at all the future forecasts of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, and the roaring to two-thousands that most all of the futurists that had made predictions were wrong. The book MegaTrends was quite popular in the early 80s, and it painted a future which never came. Today, many of the top futurists are painting pictures of tomorrow which will never come either. The other day we were discussing in the think tank on the Internet - what the online world might look like in the next decade.

Future of Internet

The Future of the Internet will be nothing like it is today. People will be permanently connected, and VR holographic meetings, events, etc. will be part of the social human experience, it's a whole new world, today, well all this fancy stuff with mobile web, social networks is nothing. Imagine it all in 5-years or ten? It is coming we can't stop it, and even if this current system crashes under its own weight, humans will build it bigger, stronger, faster, more secure, and safer in the future, or this current system will evolve to something which is truly out of this world.

If the Internet can change that mindset in the last 5 to 10 years, imagine what it will do in the future? In the future you may not be able to get a job, live your life, or even communicate with your family and friends unless you were online, unless you are plugged in, unless you have an e-mail address which is tied to your personal identification code, and your biometric ID or driver's license.

Does that mean the world of big brother is nearly upon us? Some would say it's already here, and for those who are worried about their personal identity, it's amazing that nearly 50% of all Americans freely put information about themselves online for everyone else to read. So it is doubtful if anyone is really serious about protecting their privacy in the information age, although, I'm sure few people can see the writing on the wall even though they aren't futurists or don't have a crystal ball.

I'd like you to think about this for yourself, perhaps jot down some predictions of your own, put them on a piece of paper and bury them in the bottom of your desk, someplace that you haven't looked in over five years, and perhaps five years from now you will see it, and laugh at yourself, and how wrong you were. It's not easy to predict the future, and perhaps that's my point here. Please consider all this.

Lance Winslow is a retired Founder of a Nationwide Franchise Chain, and now runs the Online Think Tank. Lance Winslow says this article was sponsored by; internet phone services

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